My guess for Lenny’s release date
Looking at the current number of release-critical bugs, my guess for the actual release date of Lenny is: around June 2009.

The blue lines have exactly the same angle, the greenish line marks the planned release date.
I know that’s not exactly scientific, but let’s see how close I am.
The blue graph marks by the way the number of release-critical bugs in stable.
August 1st, 2008 at 12:44 pm
But do the first two blue lines start at the start of the freeze for that release? Did the last two releases have a staged freeze e.g. libraries first etc.?
August 1st, 2008 at 12:47 pm
The first two blue lines just end at the actual release.
August 1st, 2008 at 10:23 pm
Ouch. I somehow hoped that maybe October or November 2008 would be realistic… as the freeze just seemed to go according to the schedule. Thanks for the reality check.
August 2nd, 2008 at 11:39 am
Yeah, this was exactly what I thought when I looked at the bug graph when the freeze was announced.
August 2nd, 2008 at 11:13 pm
Am I right in thinking we’ll have had less release critical bugs in Testing, than in Stable for 18 months before release, if this happens?
I can see why each release needs less bugs before release than the previous release (if the quality is to be maintained), and there is some merit in “better the bugs you know”….
Perhaps the release criteria should include “RC_BUGS_STABLE - RC_BUGS_TESTING”.
August 3rd, 2008 at 5:49 pm
Hi
I just kind of translate your post in spanish
Thanks for being realistic
Regards
August 6th, 2008 at 8:34 pm
I have made “hotlinking” of the graphic in esdebian.org (the spanish Debian forum). See here
Can I take the picture and upload it to imageshack or flickr? It’s for your bandwidth!!
Thank you.
February 3rd, 2009 at 6:54 pm
You predictions have not been correct. Debian 5.0 Lenny will most likely be released in the valentines day, February 14 2009. That’s less than two weeks from now
February 3rd, 2009 at 6:55 pm
Your predictions have not been correct. Debian 5.0 Lenny will most likely be released in the valentines day, February 14 2009. That’s less than two weeks from now
February 3rd, 2009 at 7:56 pm
If we really release on that day, my prediction would still be closer to the actual release date than the official one.